EU Final Guidelines on Identifying an Economic Downturn in IRB Modelling

The European Banking Authority has published a report and final Guidelines on the estimation of LGD appropriate for an economic downturn in compliance with the Capital Requirements Regulation, the Regulatory Technical Standards on the internal ratings-based assessment methodology and the final draft RTS on the specification of an economic downturn.

The Guidelines will apply from January 1, 2021 and firms should incorporate these requirements in their rating systems by that time. However, national regulators may bring forward, at their discretion, this deadline. The EBA Guidelines remind firms that the use of own estimates of LGD appropriate for an economic downturn is subject to approval by their home state regulator.

The Guidelines specify how LGD estimates appropriate for an economic downturn - identified in accordance with the draft RTS on economic downturn - should be quantified, taking into account the specificities of firm processes, underwriting standards and general response to adverse economic conditions. The Guidelines supplement the existing EBA Guidelines on Probability of Default, LGD estimation and treatment of defaulted assets.

The publication of these Guidelines marks the completion of the EBA's 2016 roadmap, designed to address concerns about the variability of own funds requirements arising from the internal models that firms use to calculate their minimum credit risk capital requirements under the CRR.

View the final report and guidelines.

View details of the EBA's consultation on the guidelines.

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